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OI Formation & Direction

WDC · Aug 21, 2026 · $300 put WDC260821P00300000

Two-stage assessment

Data conflict

The returned counts cannot safely support direction attribution.

Initiation evidence
Indeterminate · Unknown
Underlying implication
Underlying implication unresolved

Settlement arithmetic

Formation window

Source trade date
June 26, 2026Tape session
Baseline OI
748OI visible on source date
Settlement observation
June 29, 2026Next returned trading row
Settled OI
6,221Next observation
OI change
+5,473Settled minus baseline
Trade-day volume
6,324Bound denominator
Net-formation ratio
86.54%OI change ÷ volume

Bound-first attribution

Side partitions & lower bounds

Each raw bound is max(0, OI change − (volume − side volume)). A positive value is the minimum net formation forced into that quote-side bucket.

Ask
6,289Raw lower bound: 5,438
Bid
34Raw lower bound: 0
Mid
1Raw lower bound: 0
Neutral
1Raw lower bound: 0
Clean ask
0Side volume after allowing all flagged structure to contaminate this bucket
Clean bid
0Side volume after allowing all flagged structure to contaminate this bucket

Conservative allowance

Flagged structure

The clean dominant-side bound allows every flagged contract to contaminate that side. Because flags can overlap, their sum is capped at daily volume.

Multileg
4Flags may overlap
Stock multileg
0Flags may overlap
Cross
0Flags may overlap
Floor
6,065Flags may overlap
Clamped structure allowance
6,069Sum capped at total volume

Context only

Intraday corroboration

Minute clustering, premium, and IV describe the tape. They cannot create or increase a mathematical bound.

Active minutes
25Returned minute buckets
Largest minute
6,06595.90% of daily volume
Ask/bid premium imbalance
+98.78%Positive is ask-premium led
IV range
108.40% – 116.97%Descriptive only
Daily reconciliation
MismatchMinute side totals versus daily side totals

Interpretation boundaries

What this report cannot verify

Motive and identity remain unknown

These aggregates cannot distinguish speculation, hedging, overwriting, participant capacity, or verified open/close labels.

Conditional dealer mechanics

No dealer hedge scenario is shown while initiation bias is unresolved.

Reason codes side_partition_mismatch intraday_partition_mismatch