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OI Formation & Direction

VIXW · Jul 1, 2026 · $15 put VIXW260701P00015000

Two-stage assessment

Confirmed net formation

OI increased by 149,434 contracts after the source session.

Initiation evidence
Bounded, with mixed formation · Ask-led
Underlying implication
Consistent with bearish or protective put demand

Settlement arithmetic

Formation window

Source trade date
June 29, 2026Tape session
Baseline OI
1,246OI visible on source date
Settlement observation
June 30, 2026Next returned trading row
Settled OI
150,680Next observation
OI change
+149,434Settled minus baseline
Trade-day volume
150,142Bound denominator
Net-formation ratio
99.53%OI change ÷ volume

Bound-first attribution

Side partitions & lower bounds

Each raw bound is max(0, OI change − (volume − side volume)). A positive value is the minimum net formation forced into that quote-side bucket.

Ask
136,987Raw lower bound: 136,279
Bid
12,142Raw lower bound: 11,434
Mid
1,013Raw lower bound: 305
Neutral
0Raw lower bound: 0
Clean ask
53,827Side volume after allowing all flagged structure to contaminate this bucket
Clean bid
0Side volume after allowing all flagged structure to contaminate this bucket

Conservative allowance

Flagged structure

The clean dominant-side bound allows every flagged contract to contaminate that side. Because flags can overlap, their sum is capped at daily volume.

Multileg
1Flags may overlap
Stock multileg
0Flags may overlap
Cross
0Flags may overlap
Floor
82,451Flags may overlap
Clamped structure allowance
82,452Sum capped at total volume

Context only

Intraday corroboration

Minute clustering, premium, and IV describe the tape. They cannot create or increase a mathematical bound.

Active minutes
15Returned minute buckets
Largest minute
50,10033.37% of daily volume
Ask/bid premium imbalance
+85.99%Positive is ask-premium led
IV range
106.47% – 146.73%Descriptive only
Daily reconciliation
MismatchMinute side totals versus daily side totals

Interpretation boundaries

What this report cannot verify

Motive and identity remain unknown

These aggregates cannot distinguish speculation, hedging, overwriting, participant capacity, or verified open/close labels.

Conditional dealer mechanics

If a dealer was the counterparty, carried this position without portfolio offsets, and delta-hedged it, the mechanical scenario could require the dealer to sell underlying. This is not verified flow.

Reason codes confirmed_net_formation clean_bound_forces_side multiple_buckets_forced intraday_partition_mismatch