Oppty · Contract evidence
← Contract historyOI Formation & Direction
PG · Jul 17, 2026 · $149 call
PG260717C00149000
Two-stage assessment
Net OI reduction
OI decreased by 75 contracts; opening-side attribution is out of scope.
- Initiation evidence
- Indeterminate · Unknown
- Underlying implication
- Underlying implication unresolved
Settlement arithmetic
Formation window
- Source trade date
- July 01, 2026Tape session
- Baseline OI
- 7,298OI visible on source date
- Settlement observation
- July 02, 2026Next returned trading row
- Settled OI
- 7,223Next observation
- OI change
- -75Settled minus baseline
- Trade-day volume
- 3,653Bound denominator
- Net-formation ratio
- -2.05%OI change ÷ volume
Bound-first attribution
Side partitions & lower bounds
Each raw bound is max(0, OI change − (volume − side volume)).
A positive value is the minimum net formation forced into that quote-side bucket.
- Ask
- 535Raw lower bound: Unavailable
- Bid
- 94Raw lower bound: Unavailable
- Mid
- 24Raw lower bound: Unavailable
- Neutral
- 3,000Raw lower bound: Unavailable
- Clean ask
- UnavailableSide volume after allowing all flagged structure to contaminate this bucket
- Clean bid
- UnavailableSide volume after allowing all flagged structure to contaminate this bucket
Conservative allowance
Flagged structure
The clean dominant-side bound allows every flagged contract to contaminate that side. Because flags can overlap, their sum is capped at daily volume.
- Multileg
- 1Flags may overlap
- Stock multileg
- 250Flags may overlap
- Cross
- 3,000Flags may overlap
- Floor
- 260Flags may overlap
- Clamped structure allowance
- 3,511Sum capped at total volume
Context only
Intraday corroboration
Minute clustering, premium, and IV describe the tape. They cannot create or increase a mathematical bound.
- Active minutes
- 54Returned minute buckets
- Largest minute
- 3,00082.12% of daily volume
- Ask/bid premium imbalance
- +71.35%Positive is ask-premium led
- IV range
- 20.29% – 23.85%Descriptive only
- Daily reconciliation
- ReconciledMinute side totals versus daily side totals
Interpretation boundaries
What this report cannot verify
Motive and identity remain unknown
These aggregates cannot distinguish speculation, hedging, overwriting, participant capacity, or verified open/close labels.
Conditional dealer mechanics
No dealer hedge scenario is shown while initiation bias is unresolved.
nonpositive_open_interest_change