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OI Formation & Direction

FLR · Aug 21, 2026 · $60 call FLR260821C00060000

Two-stage assessment

Confirmed net formation

OI increased by 5,670 contracts after the source session.

Initiation evidence
Structure-contaminated · Ask-led
Underlying implication
Underlying implication unresolved

Settlement arithmetic

Formation window

Source trade date
June 26, 2026Tape session
Baseline OI
164OI visible on source date
Settlement observation
June 29, 2026Next returned trading row
Settled OI
5,834Next observation
OI change
+5,670Settled minus baseline
Trade-day volume
6,027Bound denominator
Net-formation ratio
94.08%OI change ÷ volume

Bound-first attribution

Side partitions & lower bounds

Each raw bound is max(0, OI change − (volume − side volume)). A positive value is the minimum net formation forced into that quote-side bucket.

Ask
5,243Raw lower bound: 4,886
Bid
637Raw lower bound: 280
Mid
147Raw lower bound: 0
Neutral
0Raw lower bound: 0
Clean ask
0Side volume after allowing all flagged structure to contaminate this bucket
Clean bid
0Side volume after allowing all flagged structure to contaminate this bucket

Conservative allowance

Flagged structure

The clean dominant-side bound allows every flagged contract to contaminate that side. Because flags can overlap, their sum is capped at daily volume.

Multileg
24Flags may overlap
Stock multileg
0Flags may overlap
Cross
0Flags may overlap
Floor
5,000Flags may overlap
Clamped structure allowance
5,024Sum capped at total volume

Context only

Intraday corroboration

Minute clustering, premium, and IV describe the tape. They cannot create or increase a mathematical bound.

Active minutes
99Returned minute buckets
Largest minute
5,00483.03% of daily volume
Ask/bid premium imbalance
+76.59%Positive is ask-premium led
IV range
54.42% – 59.16%Descriptive only
Daily reconciliation
ReconciledMinute side totals versus daily side totals

Interpretation boundaries

What this report cannot verify

Motive and identity remain unknown

These aggregates cannot distinguish speculation, hedging, overwriting, participant capacity, or verified open/close labels.

Conditional dealer mechanics

If a dealer was the counterparty, carried this position without portfolio offsets, and delta-hedged it, the mechanical scenario could require the dealer to buy underlying. This is not verified flow.

Reason codes confirmed_net_formation structure_can_explain_side_bound